DCSIMG

Economic Outlook Nordic – Glimpse of light in the dark

If your biggest wish for Christmas is economic expansion, you should pin your hopes on the US and China which appear to be well on their way out of the doldrums.

The Euro zone, on the other hand, is back in recession and this has also hit the Nordic economies, with the exception of oil rich Norway.

However, the Nordics will  maintain their safe-haven status in the financial markets, not least due to the countries’ relatively sound public finances compared to most other countries.

 

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Latest research

Central Bank Watch: New Governors at the Riksbank

Today Cecilia Skingsley (b. 1968) and Martin Flodén (b. 1970) were appointed as new governors at the Riksbank. Premature to do the bird-classification. We regard both candidates as skilled with judicious minds and integrity. Both will be voting already in the upcoming July meeting,…

Hawkish comments and demand for RUB offset oil market dynamics

RUB retreated yesterday as oil market turned around and declined slightly. Brent futures dropped below $104 /bbl., as data showed a surprise jump in U.S. gasoline stockpiles. However Russian currency has strong support these days given robust RUB purchases ahead of tax payments. Exporters help…

Euro-area growth forecast update – slow for longer

We revise down our GDP forecasts from -0.4% to -0.8% for 2013 and from 1.4% to 1% for next year. We don’t surrender to those forecasting no growth at all also for next year. We maintain our view that the balance of risk is for ECB to keep rates unchanged.